How do presidential elections affect the stock market?
How do presidential elections affect the stock market? With the U.S. presidential election just a few weeks out, coupled with the unprecedented media coverage this election has garnered, many people are questioning how the upcoming presidential election might affect their investment portfolios. They are also asking if they should be making some investment changes to perhaps protect their investments due to the somewhat antagonistic nature of this year’s presidential campaign. The fact is that economists have extensively researched the effects that a presidential election has had on the stock market in the past going back for more than a century. One widely known theory (at least to investment professionals) is aptly called the “Presidential Election Cycle Theory” which was developed by stock market historian, author and theorist Yale Hirsch. This theory postulates a slowdown in financial market trends in the first year following the election. We’ll dive into this theory …
