The Weekly Update
Week of February 3rd, 2025
By Christopher T. Much, CFP®, AIF®
Stocks were mixed last week as investors parsed market-moving news nearly every trading day—from an unsettling AI update to White House news to Q4 corporate reports.
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 1.00 percent while the Nasdaq Composite Index slid 1.64 percent. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose, picking up 0.27 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, added 0.75 percent.
A Choppy End to January
The week started on a down note with news that a Chinese artificial intelligence (AI) startup had made a breakthrough, which put pressure on a wide range of tech stocks. The tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 3 percent for the day, but the Dow Industrials ended the trading session slightly higher.
Stocks were under pressure again mid-week as investors waited on news from the Federal Reserve. The Fed voted to hold firm on short-term interest rates. Even though the decision was widely expected, markets were under pressure again after the Wednesday afternoon announcement.
Stocks rallied Thursday but reversed course Friday afternoon as traders adopted a more “risk-averse” position going into the weekend. There was a bit of anxiety knowing that the new administration’s tariffs on Mexico and Canada were scheduled to take effect on Saturday.
Interestingly, it was the Dow Industrial’s fourth-straight week outperforming both the S&P and the Nasdaq.
Black Swan Event
It’s hard to overstate how much the markets were caught off guard by Monday’s news related to the success of a new AI startup based in China.
What unsettled investors was the company’s claim that it developed a competitive AI model that performs as well as its Western counterparts at a fraction of the cost. As the week progressed, markets started to process the news and began to evaluate whether it was truly a “black swan” event or just another development in the fast-moving world of AI.
This Week: Key Economic Data
Monday: ISM Manufacturing. Construction Spending.
Tuesday: Motor Vehicle Sales.
Wednesday: ADP Employment Report. Factory Orders. ISM Services Index. Beige Book.
Thursday: Jobless Claims. International Trade in Goods and Services. Productivity and Costs.
Friday: Employment Situation.
Source: Investor’s Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar; January 30, 2025
The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.
This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings
Monday: Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)
Tuesday: Alphabet Inc. (GOOG, GOOGL), Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK), PepsiCo., Inc. (PEP), Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD), Pfizer Inc. (PFE), Amgen, Inc. (AMGN), KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR), Spotify Technology (SPOT)
Wednesday: The Walt Disney Company (DIS), Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM), Boston Scientific Corporation (BSX), Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER), Fiserv, Inc. (FI)
Thursday: Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), Eli Lilly and Company (LLY), Philip Morris International Inc. (PM), Honeywell International Inc. (HON), Bristol Myers Squibb Company (BMY), ConocoPhillips (COP)
Source: Zacks, January 30, 2025
Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.
